Document (#21940)

Editor

Thomas, H. u. L.A. Nefiodow

Title

Kondratieffs Zyklen der Wirtschaft : An der Stelle neuer Vollbeschäftigung?

Imprint

Herford : Busse-Seewald Verlag

Year

1998

Pages

350 S

Isbn

3-512-03177-3

Abstract

Hohe Arbeitslosigkeit in den frühen 30er Jahren - und jetzt wieder seit Mitte der 80er Jahre: Sind Beschäftigungskrisen ein Wiederholungsphänomen? Ist der nachfolgende Aufschwung mit Vollbeschäftigung also gleichsam schon gewiß? 1926 beschrieb Nicolai Kondratieff ein Zyklusphänomen der Wirtschaft von 50-60 jähriger Dauer. In diesem Abstand haben seit Beginn des Industriezeitalters technologische Basisinnovationen der Wirtschaft zuerst neue Produkte und Märkte beschert und dann alle Produktions- und Wirtschaftsgebiete revolutioniert. Jahrzehnten allgemeinen Aufschwungs mit Vollbeschäftigung folgte eine Phase der Marktsättigung, Stagnation oder Rezession mit steigender Arbeitslosigkeit, bis eine neue Basisinnovation wieder eine solche 'Lange Welle' anstieß. Kann die Theorie der Langen Wellen zum besseren Verständnis des Strukturwandels beitragen? Hilft ihre praktische Anwendung, die Arbeitslosigkeit zu überwinden? Zu einem intersiziplinären Dialog über diese Fragen versammelt dieser Band internationale Experten. Auch die Kritik der Theorie kommt zu Wort - bis hin zum Zweifel an der Existenz der Langen Wellen überhaupt

Footnote

Rez. in: Spektrum der Wissenschaft 1999, H.8, S. 111-112 (C. Pöppe)

Theme

Information Resources Management

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